Market News

Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner delivers his monthly Monday with Matthew video series covering the latest topics in real estate and provides his quarterly Gardner Report highlighting local market conditions in regions throughout the Western U.S.

Market News Nevada Real Estate Market Update Job growth in the Las Vegas metropolitan area remains robust. A total of 28,000 new jobs were added over the past 12 months, representing an annual growth rate of 2.8%. For perspective, the U.S. as a whole is growing at around 1.7%, or less than half the rate of Las Vegas. As the labor market expands, the unemployment rate continues to trend lower...
Market News Southern California Real Estate Market Update The counties covered by this report — Los Angeles, San Diego, San Bernardino, Orange, and Riverside — added 165,000 new jobs between February 2018 and February 2019. This represents an annual growth rate of 1.7%. In the same timeframe, the unemployment rate dropped from 4.4% to 3.9%. Employment growth in Southern California picked up a little in the late winter...
Market News Western Washington Real Estate Market Update Washington State employment slowed to an annual growth rate of 1.7% — a level not seen since 2012 — and continues a trend of slowing that started in the summer of 2018. I was a little surprised to see such a significant drop in employment growth, but it may be due to the state re-benchmarking their data (which they do annually).
Market News Hawaii/Maui Real Estate Market Update Hawaii’s economy offered a mixed bag of growth in the fourth quarter of 2018. Employment declined 1.4% but the unemployment rate was a healthy 2.3%. Over the past year, the economy has shed 9,300 jobs, and annual job gains have been negative for the past three months. On Maui, employment growth dropped 1.9% and was negative for the whole of the fourth quarter. That said, there are 78,600...
Market News Montana Real Estate Market Update According to the Labor Department, Montana added 4,700 new non-agricultural jobs in 2018, representing an annual growth rate of 1.5%. For perspective, the U.S growth rate is running at about 1.7%. State employment growth was a little frenetic last year, with monthly employment dropping in three of twelve months. I do not see this as a trend but I don’t expect to see any rapid rise in...
Market News Big Island of Hawaii Real Estate Market Update Hawaii’s economy offered a mixed bag of growth in the fourth quarter of 2018. Employment declined 1.4% but the unemployment rate was a healthy 2.3%. Year-over-year, the economy has shed 9,300 jobs, and annual job gains have been negative for the past three months. On the Big Island, employment growth dropped 2.6% and has been negative for the past five months. That said, there are 85,800...
Market News Oregon and Southwest Washington Real Estate Market Update Oregon added 30,800 new jobs in 2018, representing an annual growth rate of 1.6%. Though the job growth rate norm for the past 20 years has been 2% or more, this slowdown does not concern me. It’s to be expected at this stage in the economic cycle. The Southwest Washington market (Clark, Cowlitz, Skamania, and Klickitat counties) added 6,680 new jobs over the past 12 months, which represents...
Market News Idaho Real Estate Market Update Job growth in Idaho slowed in the fall of 2018 but the state added 13,200 new jobs over the past 12 months, representing an annual growth rate of 1.8%. In November, the state unemployment rate was 2.6%, down from 3% a year ago. The state remains at full employment, which explains why we are seeing a slowdown in employment growth. I fully anticipate that the state will return to...
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Market News Central Washington Real Estate Market Update The Washington State economy continues to add jobs at an above-average rate, though the pace of growth is starting to slow as the business cycle matures. Over the past 12 months, the state added 96,600 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 2.9% — well above the national rate of 1.7%. Private sector employment gains continue to be quite strong, increasing at an annual rate of 3.6%...
Market News Utah Real Estate Market Update Utah added 43,700 non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, representing a growth rate of 2.9%. For perspective, the U.S growth rate is 1.7%. Monthly employment growth in Utah has started to slow, but I attribute this to the fact that the region is essentially at full employment and it is typical to see job growth slow, especially at this stage of the business cycle. In November, the...
Market News Eastern Washington Real Estate Market Update The Washington State economy continues to add jobs at an above-average rate, though the pace of growth is starting to slow as the business cycle matures. Over the past 12 months, the state added 96,600 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 2.9%—well above the national rate of 1.7%. Private sector employment gains continue to be quite strong, increasing at an annual rate of 3.6%...
Market News Colorado Real Estate Market Update The Colorado economy continues to grow, adding 69,100 new non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, which represents a solid growth rate of 2.6%. That said, we are continuing to see a modest slowdown in employment gains, but that is to be expected at this stage of the business cycle. My latest forecast suggests that Colorado will add a total of 65,000 new jobs in 2019, representing a...
Market News Nevada Real Estate Market Update Job growth in the Las Vegas metropolitan area remains very strong. A total of 38,900 new jobs were added over the past 12 months, representing an impressive annual growth rate of 3.9%. For perspective, the U.S. as a whole is growing at around 1.7% or less than half the rate of Las Vegas. As jobs are added to the local economy, the unemployment rate is trending lower. The seasonally adjusted...
Market News Southern California Real Estate Market Update The counties covered by this report — Los Angeles, San Diego, San Bernardino, Orange, and Riverside — added 139,000 new jobs between November 2017 and November 2018, representing an annual growth rate of 1.4%. The unemployment rate held at 4%. Employment growth in Southern California continues to slow but, as I discussed in the third quarter Gardner Report, the market is heavily affected by...
Market News Western Washington Real Estate Market Update The Washington State economy continues to add jobs at an above-average rate, though the pace of growth is starting to slow as the business cycle matures. Over the past 12 months, the state added 96,600 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 2.9% — well above the national rate of 1.7%. Private sector employment gains continue to be quite strong, increasing at an annual rate of 3.6%...
Market News 2019 Economic and Housing Forecast What a year it has been for both for the U.S. economy and the national housing market. After several years of above-average economic and home price growth, 2018 marked the start of a slowdown in the residential real estate market. As the year comes to a close, it’s time for me to dust off my crystal ball to see what we can expect in 2019.
Market News Montana Real Estate Market Update According to the Labor Department, Montana added 7,400 non-agricultural jobs between September 2017 and September 2018, representing an annual growth rate of 1.6%. For perspective, the U.S growth rate is about 1.7%. The state experienced pretty substantial monthly increases in employment over the last few months and I hope this will continue even as we see a slowdown in employment in the...
Market News Oregon and Southwest Washington Real Estate Market Update Oregon added 42,000 new jobs over the past 12 months, representing a very solid annual growth rate of 2.2%. In the second quarter Gardner Report, I stated that job growth in Oregon was starting to taper, but since then the state has made adjustments to figures from the last three years that now suggest job growth was stronger than originally reported. The Southwest Washington market...
Market News Idaho Real Estate Market Update Job growth in Idaho remains fairly strong. Over the past 12 months the state has added 22,000 new jobs, representing a solid growth rate of 3.1%. In August, the state unemployment rate was 2.8%, down from 3.1% a year ago. The state is, essentially, at full employment, and it appears my forecast predicting that Idaho would add just over 20,000 new jobs in 2018 will likely come true.
Market News Central Washington Real Estate Market Update Washington State continues to be one of the fastest growing states in the nation and there is little to suggest that there will be any marked slowdown in the foreseeable future. Over the past year, the state has added 105,900 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 3.2%. This remains well above the national rate of 1.65%. Private sector employment gains continue to be...